Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.000039 0.000042 0.000046 0.000050 0.000054 0.000060
2025-12-07 0.000030 0.000034 0.000038 0.000044 0.000050 0.000057 0.000066
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000058 0.000070
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000028 0.000034 0.000041 0.000049 0.000060 0.000073
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000076
2026-01-04 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078
2026-01-11 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048 0.000062 0.000082
2026-01-18 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000038 0.000050 0.000066 0.000089
2026-01-25 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000045 0.000060 0.000082 0.000115
2026-02-01 0.000018 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000058 0.000081 0.000116
2026-02-08 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000041 0.000057 0.000080 0.000116
2026-02-15 0.000016 0.000022 0.000029 0.000040 0.000057 0.000081 0.000121
2026-02-22 0.000015 0.000021 0.000028 0.000040 0.000057 0.000084 0.000127
2026-03-01 0.000014 0.000019 0.000027 0.000038 0.000056 0.000083 0.000129
2026-03-08 0.000013 0.000018 0.000025 0.000037 0.000054 0.000082 0.000131
2026-03-15 0.000012 0.000017 0.000024 0.000035 0.000054 0.000082 0.000134
2026-03-22 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000052 0.000081 0.000135
2026-03-29 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000051 0.000080 0.000136
2026-04-05 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000032 0.000051 0.000082 0.000141
2026-04-12 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000033 0.000053 0.000087 0.000154
2026-04-19 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025 0.000039 0.000064 0.000109 0.000202
2026-04-26 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000037 0.000062 0.000107 0.000201
2026-05-03 0.000010 0.000014 0.000022 0.000036 0.000060 0.000105 0.000201